Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5078 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5078 · DCA → BHM

departs 2:41 PM ET · arrives 3:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.34 in

BHM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5078 · DCA → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?