Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5086 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

OH 5086 · CHS → CLT

departs 7:50 PM ET · arrives 9:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.75 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5086 · CHS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?