Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5099 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5099 · CLT → CAK

departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 8:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK

↓ CAK usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip1.62 in

CAK (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5099 · CLT → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?