Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5107 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5107 · DCA → CAE

departs 8:30 AM ET · arrives 10:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAE?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CAE that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CAE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.36 in

CAE (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5107 · DCA → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?