OH 5126 · CLT → ECP

departs 1:17 PM ET · arrives 2:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

ECP (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip3.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5126 · CLT → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?