OH 5130 · CHA → CLT

departs 3:54 PM ET · arrives 5:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CHA that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at CLT that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.30 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5130 · CHA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?