OH 5136 · CLT → JAN

departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 5:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at JAN that day

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.36 in

JAN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5136 · CLT → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?