Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5145 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5145 · DCA → CVG

departs 8:38 AM ET · arrives 10:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DCA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.33 in

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5145 · DCA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?