OH 5170 · DCA → SYR

departs 10:21 AM ET · arrives 11:47 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.06 in

SYR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5170 · DCA → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?