Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5182 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5182 · TYS → CLT

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:17 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 10am departures from TYS are often late

↓ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip0.95 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip1.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5182 · TYS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?