Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5197 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5197 · DCA → CMH

departs 10:15 PM ET · arrives 11:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.36 in

CMH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5197 · DCA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?