Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5198 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5198 · CLT → DAY

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 5:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAY

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip1.24 in

DAY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5198 · CLT → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?