OH 5201 · CLT → VPS

departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to VPS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 3.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

VPS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip3.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5201 · CLT → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?