Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5203 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5203 · CLT → GSP

departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at GSP that day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ GSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip1.24 in

GSP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5203 · CLT → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?