Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5225 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5225 · CLT → SGF

departs 11:25 AM ET · arrives 12:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ SGF is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SGF that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.72 in

SGF (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5225 · CLT → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?