OH 5243 · SAV → DCA

departs 3:19 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DCA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.01 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5243 · SAV → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?