Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5247 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5247 · IAH → DCA

departs 7:03 AM CT · arrives 11:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at IAH that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.13 in

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5247 · IAH → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?