Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5254 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5254 · DCA → HPN

departs 12:59 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HPN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.06 in

HPN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5254 · DCA → HPN

Odds over time

How late will it get to HPN?