Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5261 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

OH 5261 · DCA → ECP

departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 3:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.12 in

ECP (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip3.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5261 · DCA → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?