Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5261 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

OH 5261 · ECP → DCA

departs 3:52 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.9 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DCA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.97 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5261 · ECP → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?