Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5290 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5290 · DCA → MHT

departs 9:59 AM ET · arrives 11:33 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT

↓ MHT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

MHT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5290 · DCA → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?