Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5294 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5294 · MHT → CLT

departs 12:07 PM ET · arrives 2:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from MHT are often late

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MHT that day

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5294 · MHT → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?