Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5300 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5300 · MYR → DCA

departs 12:05 PM ET · arrives 1:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.89 in

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5300 · MYR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?