OH 5322 · JAN → CLT

departs 7:27 AM CT · arrives 10:30 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at JAN that day

↑ JAN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from JAN are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.63 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5322 · JAN → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?