Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5330 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5330 · DCA → ORF

departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 10:39 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ORF that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.43 in

ORF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5330 · DCA → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?