OH 5402 · DCA → PIT

departs 7:46 AM ET · arrives 9:01 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.06 in

PIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5402 · DCA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?