OH 5402 · PIT → DCA

departs 9:36 AM ET · arrives 10:57 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5402 · PIT → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?