Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5418 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5418 · DCA → SYR

departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 7:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.06 in

SYR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5418 · DCA → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?