Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5431 SCHEDULED

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5431 · CLT → HPN

departs 7:23 AM ET · arrives 9:28 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HPN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HPN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.46 in

HPN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5431 · CLT → HPN

Odds over time

How late will it get to HPN?