Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5436 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5436 · DCA → BGR

departs 10:04 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BGR usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.34 in

BGR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5436 · DCA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?