Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5447 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5447 · CLT → LEX

departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 10:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LEX that day

↓ LEX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.39 in

LEX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5447 · CLT → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?