Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5513 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

OH 5513 · DCA → BNA

departs 10:00 PM ET · arrives 11:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5513 · DCA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?