OH 5548 · PNS → CLT

departs 5:22 AM CT · arrives 8:18 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.8 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from PNS are usually not late

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip3.80 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5548 · PNS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?