Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5561 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5561 · BHM → DCA

departs 7:34 AM CT · arrives 10:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from BHM are usually not late

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.17 in

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5561 · BHM → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?