Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

OH 5573 · JAX → DCA

departs 2:31 PM ET · arrives 4:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ JAX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.66 in

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5573 · JAX → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?