OH 5659 · CLT → ORF

departs 9:07 AM ET · arrives 10:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORF that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

ORF (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5659 · CLT → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?