OO 3811 · MSP → STL

departs 1:28 PM CT · arrives 3:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3811 · MSP → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?