Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 3950 · MSP → AUS
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 9:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.