OO 3970 · PIT → MSP

departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3970 · PIT → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?