Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4175 · MFE → AUS
departs 5:20 AM CT · arrives 6:44 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.10 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.