Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
OO 4175 · MFE → AUS
departs 5:20 AM CT · arrives 6:44 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from MFE are usually not late
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 9,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.