Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
OO 4251 · CIU → MSP
departs 7:10 AM ET · arrives 8:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 7%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave CIU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at CIU that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
CIU (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.09 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.