Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4830
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4830 · CLT → LWB
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LWB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LWB?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LWB that day
↑
2pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
LWB usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.81 in
LWB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.