Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5038 · IAD → LYH
departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 9:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LYH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LYH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LYH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LYH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LYH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at IAD that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
LYH usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.43 in
LYH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.