Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5058 · IAH → MEI
departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 11:18 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEI more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MEI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEI?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MEI that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
MEI usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.17 in
MEI (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.