Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5379
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5379 · IAH → SAT
departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 5:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.