Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5525
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5525 · MEM → IAH
departs 11:46 AM CT · arrives 1:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±2 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MEM that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.