Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5758 · IAH → MEM
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MEM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.