Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5765 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OO 5765 · IAH → SHV

departs 2:28 PM CT · arrives 3:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SHV?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SHV that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ SHV usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

SHV (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5765 · IAH → SHV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SHV?