Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1415SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
UA 1415 · DEN → SMF
departs 11:30 AM MT · arrives 1:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±5 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.